Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 7.485908 8.550722 9.724237 11.115320 12.721712 14.521309 16.694119
2025-08-17 5.936136 7.290686 8.902869 10.969840 13.559278 16.708592 20.848393
2025-08-24 4.996057 6.460326 8.301325 10.798722 14.118017 18.405540 24.407730
2025-08-31 4.313434 5.814209 7.786737 10.588595 14.497826 19.805067 27.635016
2025-09-07 4.004568 5.600329 7.782103 11.011436 15.718277 22.402817 32.747867
2025-09-14 3.665502 5.293996 7.598943 11.136781 16.496934 24.421242 37.222696
2025-09-21 3.342434 4.968746 7.343267 11.109313 17.019131 26.081571 41.308679
2025-09-28 3.044023 4.645388 7.050608 10.981438 17.352048 27.456453 45.064933
2025-10-05 2.902448 4.544062 7.078875 11.345162 18.482667 30.187822 51.339130
2025-10-12 2.758521 4.422811 7.059814 11.622105 19.486359 32.796470 57.690066
2025-10-19 2.653649 4.352901 7.112852 12.016413 20.716888 35.900244 65.267305
2025-10-26 2.430500 4.066564 6.781713 11.718704 20.702870 36.808546 68.895909
2025-11-02 2.249258 3.838850 6.534603 11.552204 20.919787 38.177593 73.614559
2025-11-09 2.089430 3.634766 6.310603 11.404699 21.153663 39.596681 78.599377
2025-11-16 1.941176 3.438480 6.082890 11.226387 21.305562 40.863851 83.413697
2025-11-23 1.801588 3.246334 5.846193 11.007342 21.351960 41.919241 87.898672
2025-11-30 1.764710 3.239701 5.948775 11.448145 22.746881 45.819983 98.975443
2025-12-07 1.689741 3.155183 5.897362 11.578824 23.519864 48.512457 107.712504
2025-12-14 1.601279 3.037805 5.773168 11.550186 23.954340 50.526479 115.146728
2025-12-21 1.507905 2.903757 5.605787 11.416870 24.149757 52.035825 121.577554
2025-12-28 1.477546 2.892087 5.679988 11.796082 25.499103 56.249610 135.095468
2026-01-04 1.438928 2.860637 5.711195 12.084842 26.673475 60.187937 148.459707
2026-01-11 1.414073 2.855356 5.795368 12.496009 28.167350 65.033004 164.815018